The third wave of the covid-19 pandemic might hit Maharashtra in the next two to four weeks, according to the state task team, which is a sobering reminder for the state, which was devastated by the pandemic’s second wave. Maharashtra Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray presided over the meeting that made the projections. In comparison to the second wave, the total number of Covid cases in the third wave could double. The first wave reported 19 lakh instances, with the second wave reporting 40 lakhs. The number of active cases is expected to surpass eight lakhs. (In Maharashtra, the figure is at 1.4 lakh.) Children and young adults are expected to account for 10% of all cases, comparable to the trend seen in the preceding two waves. Lower middle-class people who either missed the virus in the first two waves or have highly depleted levels of antibodies will be hit hardest.
Dr. Shashank Joshi, a task force member, emphasised the need of practising Covid-appropriate behaviour. The state could find itself in the same predicament as the United Kingdom, where the third wave arrived just four weeks after the second wave had passed. Epidemiologists expect up to 100 days between the maxima of two waves, or eight weeks from the drop of one wave to the next peak, based on a conservative estimate.
The task committee also believes that the lower middle class would be affected the hardest in this wave since they dodged the virus in the previous two waves or have poor antibody levels. Uncontrolled crowds and a disdain for Covid rules like masking and social separation, according to a senior official, were “worrisome” during the conference. He also mentioned that the number of tests has decreased, implying that numerous cases may go unnoticed.
Delta Plus Variant
The second wave of the coronavirus pandemic was blamed on a delta version of SARS-CoV-2. Last year, Maharashtra was the first state to report the Delta variant. Even though it has not been classified as a variant of concern, the Delta Plus variant has now been discovered (VoC). In March of this year, the Delta Plus variation was discovered for the first time in Europe.
How India Can Protect Itself?
People were seen gathering indoors and outside when the limitations were loosened during the initial wave, but authorities appeared to be careless in maintaining COVID-19 policy. As a result, the COVID-19 epidemic reappeared after a few months, with the highest global spikes in India, which can undo this lesson at its peril.
TAKE BEHAVIORALVACCINE; The COVID-19 epidemic pushed scientists to produce vaccinations as quickly as possible. The efficacy of lab-developed vaccinations varies depending on the candidate and the mutant strain of SARS-CoV-2. Behavioral vaccinations, on the other hand, provide the best protection against all SARS-CoV-2 subtypes. Face masks, Covid-appropriate hygiene, and maintaining proper physical-social distance are all examples of behavioural vaccinations. The Oraon tribe’s TANA BHAGAT COMMUNITY in Jharkhand has demonstrated how to defeat covid-19 without immunizations. During the first and second waves of the coronavirus pandemic, no member of the Tana bhagat community tested positive for covid-19, although Jharkhand has recorded over 3.44 lakh cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection.
STAGGERED OPENING; Markets and offices should open at different times to avoid overcrowding. Both public and private management should choose varied schedules and locations, including continuous use of the work-from-home option, to avoid a concentration of workers in one location. This is more critical for offices with a large number of indoor employees than for those that rely on field workers. According to studies, the spread of Covid-19 is stronger indoors because wind and sunrays enable SARS-CoV-2 disintegrate more quickly outside.
Giving More Attention To Science
The discovery of a novel variation is thought to be critical in reducing the risk of a new Covid-19 epidemic. India’s issue is a lack of infrastructure to do genetic research. This kind of capability can’t be built in a day. Due to a lack of genome data on SARS-CoV-2, a new wave of Covid-19 pandemics may emerge, with neither scientists nor authorities knowing that the virus was on a colonization mission.
Vaccination To Reduce The Mortality Rate
The use of immunization to minimize mortality rates is a common element in all countries affected by the third wave. Vaccination efforts have been proven to be effective over the world. Covid-19 symptoms are similar to those of a common cold in the majority of immunized patients. In India, we can use immunization to turn the deadly Covid third wave into just a “Covid third wave of common cold.”
SEVEN STEPS TO FIGHT COVID-19 THIRD WAVE IN INDIA
- Obtain Indian and foreign vaccinations at the lowest possible cost as quickly as possible.
- At all costs, reduce vaccination waste.
- Improve the supply chain for vaccination distribution in both public and private hospitals and clinics.
- Collaborate with both large and small private hospitals and clinics to provide free vaccinations.
- Vaccination service available 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
- Vaccination drives organised by the community.
- Vaccination certificates are required at employment, on public transportation, and in recreational facilities.